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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheng Chao-fang | 54% | −5 pts | −5 pts | 46¢ · 62¢ (16¢) | $47.2 | in 43d |
| Hsu Hsin-ying | 41% | +1 pts | +5 pts | 39¢ · 42¢ (3¢) | $22.3 | in 43d |
| Lin Szu-ming | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 43d |
| Chen Chien-hsien | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 43d |
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Haradwaith41 sharesTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 54¢ for Cheng Chao-fang means the market gives it about 54%.