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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yu Shu-chen | 84% | +2 pts | +4 pts | 82¢ · 85¢ (3¢) | $30 | in 43d |
| Wei Chia-hsien | 13% | — | — | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | — | in 43d |
| Chang Chun | 4% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 43d |
| Yeh Yao-hui | 3% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 43d |
| Lo Pei-chin | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 43d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
James-Talarico980 shares
ChiangWan-an315 shares
RepublicOfChina99 shares
YangYuxiang69 shares
The-Dove64 shares
Haradwaith69 sharesTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 84¢ for Yu Shu-chen means the market gives it about 84%.