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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 16% | −1 pts | −10 pts | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
clazzy160 shares
erFiodena43 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any Immigration and Customs Enforcement employee for their involvement in the shooting of Oscar Belgal in the Marble Hill neighborhood of Manhattan, New York City on October 8, 2026, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 16¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 16%.