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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 13% | −2 pts | −4 pts | 7¢ · 19¢ (12¢) | — | in 76d |
| October 31 | 10% | −1 pts | +2 pts | — · 20¢ | — | in 14d |
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ArmageddonRewardsBilly75 shares
LornaPredicts100 shares
maora68 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe. This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 13¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 13%.