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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −78 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 287d | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,140 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 287d | SweetChariot | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,699 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 287d | esac | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,351 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 287d | puravida | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,502 | +$153 +2.0% | 4 |
| 287d | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyNo24¢ → 100¢ | $8,967 | +$28,618 +319% | 15 | |
| 287d | cowcat | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyNo25¢ → 100¢ | $1,883 | +$5,649 +300% | 7 |
| 288d | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 4 | |
| 288d | Nothing Ever Happens: January | SellYes76¢ → 0¢ | $2,280 | +$2,280 +100% | — | |
| 288d | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,170 | −$1,170 −100% | 4 | |
| 288d | 0x9bdd…6da4 | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | −$1,560 −100% | 4 |
| 288d | csgb | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyNo23¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$4,620 +335% | 6 |
| 288d | lowrisk22 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $3,519 | −$3,519 −100% | 4 |
| 288d | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 4 | |
| 288d | lowrisk24 | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,925 | −$1,925 −100% | 4 |
| 288d | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $3,743 | −$3,743 −100% | 4 | |
| 289d | Odranoelsemog | Nothing Ever Happens: January | SellYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,325 | +$1,325 +100% | — |
| 289d | Gold.Mansacks | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,480 | −$1,480 −100% | 4 |
| 289d | zerosmart | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $3,618 | −$3,618 −100% | 4 |
| 289d | Passionate-Left | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,101 | −$1,101 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between January 1 and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Silver (SI) hits ↑ $100 - US x Venezuela military engagement - FED rate cut Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/January.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.