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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Ruas | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Dr. Luizinho | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eduardo Pazuello | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tarcísio Motta | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anthony Garotinho | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wilson Witzel | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| André Português | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lindbergh Farias | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Felipe Curi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicola Miccione | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| André Ceciliano | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chico Machado | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fred Pacheco | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eduardo Paes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rafa Luz | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colonel Busnello | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | laolumanjuuma | Douglas Ruas | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,663 | +$9 +0.2% | 10 |
| 2d | Seeking-Alpha01 | Douglas Ruas | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | −$24 −2.0% | — |
| 3d | KiernanMeister | Eduardo Paes | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,886 | −$21 −0.7% | — |
| 7d | Standard-Taste | Douglas Ruas | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,579 | −$78 −2.2% | — |
| 8d | Douglas Ruas | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$21 +1.1% | 10 | |
| 8d | Musk54 fills | Douglas Ruas | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $8,608 | +$571 +6.6% | 10 |
| 8d | Eduardo Paes | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$41 +3.5% | 10 | |
| 9d | OswaldMcFurther | Douglas Ruas | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$33 +3.3% | 10 |
| 9d | Renan2030 | Douglas Ruas | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$74 +6.5% | 10 |
| 10d | 65765757 | Douglas Ruas | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,300 | +$214 +5.0% | 10 |
| 10d | Eduardo Paes | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,784 | +$178 +6.4% | 10 | |
| 11d | everrisetrader2 fills | Douglas Ruas | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,736 | +$110 +2.9% | 10 |
| 13d | tradesandraids | Eduardo Paes | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $3,810 | −$3,810 −100% | 13 |
| 14d | yieldmaxxing | Eduardo Paes | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 14 |
| 16d | fabres05 | Douglas Ruas | BuyYes25¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$3,065 +303% | 12 |
| 43d | Musk5 | Eduardo Paes | SellYes94¢ → 0¢ | $1,195 | +$1,195 +100% | — |
| 59d | Renan2030 | Eduardo Paes | SellYes97¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | +$1,013 +100% | — |
| 62d | Renan2030 | Eduardo Paes | BuyYes94¢ → 0¢ | $1,152 | −$1,152 −100% | 10 |
| 97d | LulaVaiPerder | Eduardo Paes | SellYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,312 | +$1,312 +100% | — |
| 103d | LulaVaiPerder | Eduardo Paes | BuyYes89¢ → 0¢ | $1,684 | −$1,684 −100% | 10 |
| 108d | Musk5 | Felipe Curi | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | −$14 −1.1% | — |
| 115d | 0xafeb…66323 fills | Fred Pacheco | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,332 | +$31 +0.2% | 10 |
| 115d | 0x7806…d4c93 fills | Fred Pacheco | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,332 | +$31 +0.2% | 10 |
| 115d | 0x004e…5f273 fills | Fred Pacheco | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,332 | +$31 +0.2% | 10 |
| 115d | 0x4200…16e53 fills | Fred Pacheco | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,332 | +$31 +0.2% | 10 |
| 115d | Musk5 | Eduardo Paes | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 10 |
| 125d | André Ceciliano | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,614 | +$249 +15% | 10 | |
| 126d | Dr. Luizinho | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | +$235 +21% | 10 |
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Douglas Ruas means the market gives it about 100%.