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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inde Navarrette | 84% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 83¢ · 85¢ (2¢) | — | in 75d |
| Tom Holland | 18% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 15¢ · 20¢ (5¢) | — | in 75d |
| Zendaya | 21% | +3 pts | +5 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Wagner Moura | 11% | +2 pts | −2 pts | 10¢ · 11¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Jaafar Jackson | 54% | −4 pts | +5 pts | 53¢ · 54¢ (1¢) | $47.6 | in 75d |
| Chase Infiniti | 14% | +1 pts | +6 pts | 10¢ · 19¢ (9¢) | $8 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | Tom Holland | BuyNo70¢ → 82¢ | $1,392 | +$252 +18% | 4 | |
| 20d | Smart-bettor7 | Inde Navarrette | BuyYes80¢ → 84¢ | $1,343 | +$59 +4.4% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is ranked in the Top 5 of Google’s official Year in Search Global "Actors" list for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → Actors. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 84¢ for Inde Navarrette means the market gives it about 84%.