| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Ends in 440d | No | 360 | 90¢ → 86¢ | $308 | −$14 −4.4% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 300 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $230 | −$2 −0.6% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 314 | 61¢ → 61¢ | $190 | −$2 −0.8% |
| Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 9h | Yes | 201 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $169 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will Washington Capitals be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?Ends in 256d | No | 150 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $136 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1171d | Yes | 268 | 57¢ → 51¢ | $135 | −$17 −11% |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?Ends in 134d | No | 166 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $125 | −$4 −3.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 166 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $115 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Ends in 74d | No | 132 | 88¢ → 82¢ | $109 | −$8 −6.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 123 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $104 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 195 | 49¢ → 51¢ | $99 | +$3 +3.1% |
| Will Alabama have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 55d | Yes | 130 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $95 | +$8 +9.0% |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 151 | 61¢ → 62¢ | $93 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $484,000 and $497,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 105 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $91 | −$2 −1.7% |
| Will DR Congo win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group E?Ends in 164d | Yes | 98 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $85 | −$3 −3.9% |
| Will TCU have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 70d | No | 120 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $82 | −$2 −2.1% |
| Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 134 | 85¢ → 57¢ | $76 | −$37 −33% |
| Will Zendaya be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 78 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $72 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 20% to 39.99%?Ends in 195d | No | 107 | 78¢ → 66¢ | $70 | −$13 −16% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 114 | 72¢ → 61¢ | $69 | −$13 −16% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 96d | Yes | 100 | 71¢ → 68¢ | $68 | −$4 −4.9% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 2.9% in September?Ends in 11d | No | 73 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $67 | +$5 +8.9% |
| Will Michigan State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 70d | No | 139 | 63¢ → 48¢ | $66 | −$22 −25% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 86 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $65 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 121 | 62¢ → 54¢ | $65 | −$10 −13% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 75 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $64 | −$2 −2.8% |
| Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 157 | 50¢ → 41¢ | $63 | −$15 −19% |
| Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Ends in 256d | Yes | 107 | 59¢ → 57¢ | $62 | −$2 −2.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 67 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $61 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 384 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $59 | −$17 −23% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 125 | 70¢ → 48¢ | $59 | −$28 −32% |
| Will Brock Purdy have 4,299.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | No | 83 | 77¢ → 72¢ | $59 | −$5 −7.1% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 114 | 59¢ → 52¢ | $59 | −$9 −13% |
| Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?Ends in 104d | No | 71 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $58 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?Ends in 45d | Yes | 78 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $56 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 109 | 71¢ → 48¢ | $52 | −$26 −33% |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Ends in 256d | Yes | 195 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $52 | −$5 −8.6% |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 168 | 32¢ → 30¢ | $50 | −$4 −7.8% |
| Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 89 | 59¢ → 55¢ | $48 | −$4 −7.6% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 23, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 75 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $47 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 81 | 64¢ → 58¢ | $47 | −$5 −9.4% |
| Will AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth be below 0.5%?Ends in 51d | No | 65 | 87¢ → 73¢ | $47 | −$9 −17% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 163 | 31¢ → 29¢ | $46 | −$4 −8.5% |
| Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 67 | 74¢ → 69¢ | $46 | −$3 −6.8% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 73 | 75¢ → 62¢ | $45 | −$9 −17% |
| Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 54 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $44 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Will Red Bull Win the 2026 Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Award?Ends in 58d | Yes | 100 | 50¢ → 44¢ | $44 | −$7 −13% |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?Ends in 440d | Yes | 51 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $42 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 59 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $42 | +$3 +8.5% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 169 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $42 | −$6 −13% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 60 | 80¢ → 69¢ | $41 | −$7 −14% |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 58 | 76¢ → 72¢ | $41 | −$3 −5.9% |
| Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Ends in 99d | No | 45 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $41 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 60 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $41 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 45 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $40 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 92 | 58¢ → 42¢ | $39 | −$15 −27% |
| Will Kevin Fiala record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 194d | No | 40 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $37 | +$1 +4.0% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 56 | 78¢ → 67¢ | $37 | −$6 −15% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 61 | 89¢ → 62¢ | $37 | −$17 −31% |
| Will a Sophomore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Ends ended | No | 43 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $37 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 46 | 93¢ → 79¢ | $36 | −$6 −15% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 440d | No | 53 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $36 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 49 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $36 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 60 | 57¢ → 60¢ | $36 | +$2 +4.4% |
| Will Real Betis reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?Ends in 133d | Yes | 63 | 57¢ → 56¢ | $36 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $35 | −$1 −3.9% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 85 | 49¢ → 41¢ | $34 | −$7 −17% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 66 | 59¢ → 51¢ | $33 | −$6 −14% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $32 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 99 | 25¢ → 31¢ | $31 | +$6 +26% |
| KOSPI all-time high before 2028?Ends in 440d | Yes | 113 | 42¢ → 28¢ | $31 | −$16 −35% |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | Yes | 90 | 40¢ → 35¢ | $31 | −$5 −14% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 200 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $31 | −$7 −18% |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 34 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $31 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Chelsea qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 318d | No | 105 | 32¢ → 30¢ | $31 | −$3 −7.8% |
| Will Toronto Maple Leafs advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Ends in 199d | No | 40 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $31 | −$0 −1.3% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?Ends in 60d | No | 84 | 39¢ → 37¢ | $31 | −$2 −6.4% |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 70 | 49¢ → 43¢ | $30 | −$4 −13% |
| Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?Ends in 256d | No | 34 | 91¢ → 87¢ | $30 | −$1 −4.8% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 77¢ → 74¢ | $30 | −$1 −4.5% |
| Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 13d | No | 140 | 32¢ → 21¢ | $29 | −$16 −36% |
| Canza FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 45 | 75¢ → 64¢ | $29 | −$5 −15% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 32 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $29 | $0 0.0% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 195 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $28 | −$20 −42% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 71¢ | $28 | −$6 −17% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 43 | 73¢ → 64¢ | $28 | −$4 −12% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | No | 102 | 61¢ → 27¢ | $28 | −$34 −55% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | No | 40 | 71¢ → 68¢ | $27 | −$2 −5.3% |
| Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 244d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 66¢ | $26 | −$8 −23% |
| Tori FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 30 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $26 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Florida Panthers advance to the Eastern Conference Finals of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Ends in 219d | No | 40 | 77¢ → 65¢ | $26 | −$5 −16% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 68¢ → 65¢ | $26 | −$1 −5.1% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 87 | 41¢ → 30¢ | $26 | −$10 −28% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 147 | 23¢ → 17¢ | $26 | −$8 −24% |
| Will Washington Capitals advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Ends in 199d | No | 40 | 76¢ → 63¢ | $25 | −$5 −17% |
| Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 32 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $25 | −$1 −4.8% |
| Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?Ends in 318d | No | 40 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $25 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $25 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 45 | 57¢ → 55¢ | $25 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 440d | No | 30 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $25 | −$0 −0.6% |
