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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% | 0 pts | +96 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Medina x Quiroga | 0% | 0 pts | −87 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Quiroga x Rodríguez | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rodríguez x Medina | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 423d | Xaci | Other | SellYes>99¢ | $2,189 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 423d | Username33 | Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,214 | +$18 +0.1% | 10 |
| 423d | Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,908 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 423d | 0x97cc…bbbf2 fills | Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,670 | +$12 +0.3% | 10 |
| 423d | Medina x Quiroga | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,750 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 423d | kcnyekchno | Medina x Quiroga | SellNo>99¢ | $2,484 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 423d | 0x97cc…bbbf | Quiroga x Rodríguez | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 423d | Quiroga x Rodríguez | SellNo100¢ | $1,566 | −$8 −0.5% | — | |
| 424d | Medina x Quiroga | SellNo>99¢ | $22,909 | −$46 −0.2% | — | |
| 424d | Other | SellYes100¢ | $4,844 | −$24 −0.5% | — | |
| 424d | Medina x Quiroga | SellNo>99¢ | $6,211 | −$12 −0.2% | — | |
| 424d | haraya3 fills | Other | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,028 | −$285 −3.5% | — |
| 425d | Xaci | Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,182 | +$9 +0.4% | 10 |
| 425d | lissartter2 fills | Medina x Quiroga | SellNo>99¢ | $4,128 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 425d | Wobbly-CrimeNew account | Other | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $18,964 | −$329 −1.7% | — |
| 425d | Other | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,816 | +$223 +2.3% | 10 | |
| 425d | Cryptobet0014 fills | Other | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $6,047 | −$1,255 −21% | — |
| 425d | Other | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,791 | +$200 +7.2% | 10 | |
| 425d | gotan | Other | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,865 | +$135 +4.7% | 10 |
| 425d | Other | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,385 | +$348 +4.7% | 10 | |
| 425d | nonkenny902 fills | Other | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,151 | +$71 +3.3% | 10 |
| 425d | cigarettes | Other | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | +$197 +13% | 10 |
| 425d | Medina x Quiroga | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | −$38 −2.0% | — | |
| 425d | Other | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$278 +27% | 10 | |
| 425d | Other | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $3,568 | +$2,303 +65% | 10 | |
| 425d | Vamoss | Other | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$217 +11% | 10 |
| 425d | Other | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,750 | +$2,250 +82% | 10 | |
| 425d | Medina x Quiroga | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $2,250 | −$2,250 −100% | 10 | |
| 425d | Other | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,459 | +$1,146 +79% | 10 | |
| 425d | Medina x Quiroga | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,441 | +$1,133 +79% | 10 | |
| 425d | Quiroga x Rodríguez | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,155 | +$90 +4.2% | 10 | |
| 425d | Quiroga x Rodríguez | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$50 +3.8% | 10 | |
| 425d | Rodríguez x Medina | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,344 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 425d | Other | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $3,169 | −$3,169 −100% | 10 | |
| 425d | cigarettes2 fills | Quiroga x Rodríguez | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,304 | +$227 +5.3% | 11 |
| 425d | cigarettes2 fills | Rodríguez x Medina | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,477 | +$53 +1.2% | 10 |
| 425d | cocococococo | Other | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $4,630 | −$4,630 −100% | 10 |
| 425d | Other | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 10 | |
| 425d | Other | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $3,848 | −$3,848 −100% | 10 | |
| 425d | Alpha-Seeker | Other | BuyYes24¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$3,710 +325% | 11 |
| 425d | VvVv | Other | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $2,676 | −$2,676 −100% | 10 |
| 425d | Other | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $1,579 | −$1,579 −100% | 10 | |
| 426d | affs207913 fills | Medina x Quiroga | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $23,603 | −$23,603 −100% | 10 |
| 426d | hindu3 fills | Medina x Quiroga | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $15,221 | −$15,221 −100% | 10 |
| 426d | nonkenny9010 fills | Medina x Quiroga | BuyYes89¢ → 0¢ | $49,639 | −$49,639 −100% | 11 |
| 426d | Medina x Quiroga | BuyNo11¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$9,876 +809% | 11 | |
| 426d | Medina x Quiroga | BuyYes89¢ → 0¢ | $9,495 | −$9,495 −100% | 11 | |
| 426d | Other | SellNo95¢ → 0¢ | $1,287 | +$1,287 +100% | — | |
| 427d | Medina x Quiroga | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 13 | |
| 427d | WangHuningismydad | Medina x Quiroga | SellYes89¢ → 0¢ | $2,383 | +$2,383 +100% | — |
| 427d | Medina x Quiroga | SellYes86¢ → 0¢ | $1,032 | +$1,032 +100% | — | |
| 428d | Medina x Quiroga | SellYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,302 | +$1,302 +100% | — | |
| 429d | haraya3 fills | Medina x Quiroga | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $12,889 | −$12,889 −100% | 12 |
| 431d | Medina x Quiroga | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $1,287 | −$1,287 −100% | 11 | |
| 431d | Medina x Quiroga | BuyYes86¢ → 0¢ | $2,299 | −$2,299 −100% | 11 | |
| 431d | WangHuningismydad | Medina x Quiroga | BuyYes86¢ → 0¢ | $5,160 | −$5,160 −100% | 11 |
| 431d | Medina x Quiroga | BuyNo15¢ → 100¢ | $1,474 | +$8,351 +567% | 15 |
General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to the pair of candidates that advances to the runoff of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election. If a pairing that is not directly listed in this market advances to the runoff, this market will resolve to "Other". If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Other means the market gives it about 100%.