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Polymarket wallet 0x0008c6170e2fe3a8eb0af4a0e5c162f7a8050a4f · on Polymarket since Jan 17, 2025 · also shown as Responsible-Orange
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 46¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$4 +117% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 56¢ → 65¢ | $3 | +$0 +15% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129d | Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May? | BuyYes46¢ | $3 |
| 171d | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 29? | BuyYes12¢ | $1 |
| 187d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes56¢ | $3 |
| 311d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes26¢ | $3 |
| 340d | Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | BuyYes91¢ | $1 |
| 340d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes69¢ | $2 |
| 353d | Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 353d | Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 373d | Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.