| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 1,151 | 20¢ → 3¢ | $32 | −$198 −86% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 7,371 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$1,463 −99% |
| Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 69d | Yes | 856 | 20¢ → 1¢ | $11 | −$161 −94% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 178 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $10 | −$7 −42% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 24 | 38¢ → 36¢ | $9 | −$1 −5.4% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 330 | 25¢ → 3¢ | $9 | −$74 −89% |
| Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$1 +9.2% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 1,151 | 20¢ → 1¢ | $7 | −$223 −97% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 330 | 25¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$76 −92% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 7 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $6 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 105 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$5 −45% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 8 | 76¢ → 69¢ | $6 | −$1 −9.9% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 1,151 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$225 −98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?Ends in 45d | No | 4 | 85¢ → 72¢ | $3 | −$1 −15% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 189 | 20¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$35 −93% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Ends in 7d | Yes | 78 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$5 −64% |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Ends in 12d | No | 5 | 57¢ → 62¢ | $3 | +$0 +7.9% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$0 −14% |
| Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 10 | 17¢ → 23¢ | $2 | +$1 +35% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 189 | 20¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$36 −94% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 4 | 54¢ → 54¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,297 | 11¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$142 −99% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,297 | 11¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$142 −99% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,279 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$47 −96% |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,279 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$47 −96% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 105 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$9 −83% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 2 | 64¢ → 75¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Ends in 255d | No | 2 | 43¢ → 61¢ | $1 | +$0 +43% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 105 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$9 −89% |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$1 −36% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 105 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$10 −92% |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$2 −70% |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$2 −70% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −27% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 62 | 11¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$6 −88% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 45d | No | 2 | 57¢ → 41¢ | $1 | −$0 −29% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$2 −74% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −35% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 35 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$4 −85% |
| Will the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 2 | 19¢ → 34¢ | $1 | +$0 +76% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 4¢ → 29¢ | $1 | +$1 +625% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,279 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$49 −99% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$2 −79% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 7d | Yes | 78 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$7 −92% |
| Will Project Hail Mary win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 35 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$4 −89% |
| Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 47 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −73% |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 67 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$3 −83% |
| Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Ends in 17d | No | 1 | 53¢ → 50¢ | $0 | −$0 −6.6% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 89 | 20¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$17 −97% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −85% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −87% |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?Ends in 232d | No | 1 | 41¢ → 39¢ | $0 | −$0 −6.1% |
| Will The Social Reckoning win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −31% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be at least $1,168,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | Yes | 40 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$5 −94% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?Ends in 7d | Yes | 78 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −96% |
| Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 3 | 3¢ → 10¢ | $0 | +$0 +287% |
| Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 24?Ends in 3d | Yes | 67 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −95% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −91% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −91% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 24 | 17¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$4 −93% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 69 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −92% |
| Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | 20¢ → 12¢ | $0 | −$0 −43% |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 95 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −93% |
| Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 47 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −88% |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −92% |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 3 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $0 | +$0 +165% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −36% |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?Ends in 118d | Yes | 24 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −94% |
| Will Salman bin Ebrahim Al Khalifa be the next President of FIFA?Ends in 152d | Yes | 31 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −80% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 11¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −95% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 7d | Yes | 52 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −97% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 11¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −95% |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 292 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$12 −99% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 24 | 17¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$4 −96% |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 41 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −84% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 95 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −96% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 95 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −96% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 7 | 17¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −87% |
| Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −96% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −96% |
| Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −96% |
| Will Saturn Return win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −77% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $4.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 24 | 17¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$4 −97% |
| Will Cry to Heaven win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −79% |
| Will Toy Story 5 win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −81% |
| Will Clarissa win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −81% |
| Will The Devil Wears Prada 2 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 41 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −88% |
| Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 24?Ends in 3d | Yes | 67 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −98% |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −97% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −97% |
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −97% |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −97% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,000,000 and 2,150,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −96% |
| Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 47 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Will The Whisper Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −83% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 7 | 17¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −92% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 11¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −97% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be at least $6.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 35 | 14¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −98% |
