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Polymarket wallet 0x2014d703664851ece8e1ab75b5eeb616c43a2962 · on Polymarket since Mar 7, 2026 · also shown as Creamy-Placebo
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 1 | 67¢ → 93¢ | $1 | +$0 +39% |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,458 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,125 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 34 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 245 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 15 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.