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Polymarket wallet 0x201a99e5b00dfc9bebe26b67a44e312132029d1f · on Polymarket since Jan 5, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 26¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$3 +285% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 43¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +133% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −87% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 283d | Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026? | BuyYes43¢ | $1 |
| 283d | Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $1 |
| 283d | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 283d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $1 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes26¢ | $1 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes15¢ | $2 |
| 283d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes31¢ | $1 |
| 283d | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.