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Polymarket wallet 0x273dbcb143b7759c3ce2b6bac8a511ffa49fd0ed · on Polymarket since Jan 5, 2026 · also shown as Afraid-Child
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 8,084 | 64¢ → 13¢ | $1,063 | −$4,087 −79% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 16,617 | 31¢ → 6¢ | $914 | −$4,301 −82% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,704 | 20¢ → 4¢ | $235 | −$1,116 −83% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,015 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,792 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,500 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,729 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,800 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18,436 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.