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Polymarket wallet 0x2bed6a2f266edf810c785aa3a0c5d9f97c81dda5 · on Polymarket since Oct 9, 2025 · also shown as Jolly-Devil
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 139 | 53¢ → 50¢ | $70 | −$4 −5.9% |
| Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$3 +27% |
| Raptors vs. CelticsSettled - ready to redeem | Celtics | 14 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$4 +35% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 81¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +23% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 184 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 281d | Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election? | BuyYes79¢ | $11 |
| 281d | Raptors vs. Celtics | BuyCeltics74¢ | $10 |
| 281d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo81¢ | $10 |
| 344d | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BuyNo53¢ | $74 |
| 344d | Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31? | SellYes71¢ | $51 |
| 355d | Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31? | BuyYes70¢ | $50 |
| 373d | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
| 373d | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BuyYes87¢ | $20 |
| 373d | French election called by October 10? | BuyNo97¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.