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Polymarket wallet 0x44e2f5adb77f067609e5f97cfde73f692d3f90f0 · on Polymarket since Oct 24, 2024 · also shown as Unruly-Antigen
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 237 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 115 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 166 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 156 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,107 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$794 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $4 |
| 161d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $30 |
| 161d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $100 |
| 161d | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | SellYes60¢ | $114 |
| 161d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SellYes4¢ | $21 |
| 226d | Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? | BuyYes19¢ | $45 |
| 226d | Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | BuyYes30¢ | $50 |
| 226d | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | BuyYes32¢ | $50 |
| 226d | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BuyYes53¢ | $100 |
| 226d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyYes39¢ | $200 |
| 232d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $89 |
| 232d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo87¢ | $100 |
| 466d | 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9? | BuyNo99¢ | $180 |
| 578d | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyYes7¢ | $500 |
| 578d | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyYes6¢ | $294 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.