guapojuarez

Polymarket wallet 0x458dfea5e93d312c579aa1ebd16f972399a45455 · on Polymarket since Feb 17, 2026 · also shown as Incomparable-Scientist

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$624
Volume traded: $53.9K
All-time rank: #2,985,109
Markets traded: 1,959
Recent hit rate: 64%32 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	47	69¢ → 0¢	$0	−$33 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	32	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	13	88¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	7	81¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	34	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	32	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	43	86¢ → 0¢	$0	−$37 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	8	76¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	25	92¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	63	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$38 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	9	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	11	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	12	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	8	74¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	76¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	14	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	11	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	8	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	91¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	7	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	41	78¢ → 0¢	$0	−$32 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	9	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	12	75¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	18	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	18	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	94	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$29 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	11	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	90¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	16	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	16	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	51	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$36 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	100	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$44 −100%
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	200	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	9	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	15	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	19	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	11	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	35	93¢ → 0¢	$0	−$33 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	21	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	52	62¢ → 0¢	$0	−$32 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
176d	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	BuyYes4¢	$5
182d	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	BuyYes4¢	$0
190d	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	BuyYes59¢	$30
193d	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	SellNo>99¢	$30
194d	Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	BuyYes5¢	$3
196d	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	BuyNo41¢	$8
196d	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	BuyNo41¢	$4
196d	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	BuyYes2¢	$2
196d	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	BuyYes2¢	$1
196d	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	BuyYes2¢	$1
196d	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	BuyYes2¢	$1
196d	Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	BuyYes3¢	$1
196d	Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	BuyYes3¢	$1
196d	Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	BuyYes3¢	$0
196d	Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	BuyYes3¢	$0
197d	Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?	BuyYes19¢	$0
197d	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	BuyNo81¢	$8
197d	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	BuyNo83¢	$8
197d	Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?	BuyYes19¢	$3
197d	US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	BuyNo84¢	$8
197d	US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?	BuyNo95¢	$10
197d	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	BuyYes28¢	$11
197d	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$9
197d	Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?	BuyYes19¢	$6
197d	Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?	BuyYes30¢	$5
197d	Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?	BuyYes74¢	$7
197d	Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	BuyYes3¢	$0
197d	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	BuyYes13¢	$10
197d	Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	BuyYes3¢	$1
197d	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	BuyNo79¢	$8
197d	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	BuyNo59¢	$6
198d	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	BuyNo70¢	$14
198d	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BuyNo48¢	$5
198d	US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BuyNo69¢	$7
199d	Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?	BuyNo62¢	$6
199d	Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?	BuyYes3¢	$1
199d	Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?	BuyYes1¢	$0
199d	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	BuyNo64¢	$13
199d	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	BuyNo75¢	$15
199d	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	BuyYes25¢	$7
199d	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in March?	BuyNo80¢	$8
199d	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in March?	BuyYes30¢	$6
199d	Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?	BuyNo62¢	$0
199d	Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?	BuyNo55¢	$5
199d	Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?	BuyYes3¢	$1
199d	Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?	BuyYes3¢	$1
199d	Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?	BuyYes1¢	$2
200d	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	BuyYes35¢	$3
200d	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?	BuyNo80¢	$8
200d	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?	BuyNo76¢	$8
200d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	BuyNo73¢	$7
200d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	BuyNo88¢	$9
200d	US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?	BuyNo91¢	$9
200d	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	BuyNo86¢	$9
200d	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?	BuyYes87¢	$7
200d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	BuyNo82¢	$8
204d	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	BuyYes92¢	$46
204d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	BuyNo96¢	$96
209d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	BuyDown70¢	$4
209d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	BuyDown70¢	$0

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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