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Polymarket wallet 0x4c1bccdf679aee39e160aead73eda71092c1b860 · on Polymarket since Dec 8, 2025 · also shown as Shabby-Playground

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $3.32
All-time profit: −$8.49
Volume traded: $47.5K
All-time rank: #1,795,516
Markets traded: 49
Recent hit rate: 97%30 of last 31 closed

Open positions

17 markets · $3.32

Market	Holding		Paid → now
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 106d	No	2	95¢ → 99¢	$2	+$0 +3.7%
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 134d	No	1	98¢ → 98¢	$1	+$0 +0.8%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on February 9?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,094	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 14?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,062	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 27?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,086	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 26?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,052	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 16?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,059	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on July 14?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,039	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 10?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,066	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 10?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,029	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 4?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,068	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 5?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,053	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 7?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,061	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 10?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,059	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 22?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,081	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 13?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,036	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 13?Settled - ready to redeem	No	2,043	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%

Latest trades

last 53

When	Market	Bet	Size
39d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?	BuyYes100¢	$13
66d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 13?	BuyYes>99¢	$16
71d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8?	BuyYes>99¢	$17
79d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?	BuyYes100¢	$17
84d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 26?	BuyNo>99¢	$17
94d	Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on July 14?	BuyYes<1¢	$4
95d	Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 13?	BuyYes<1¢	$4
96d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 13?	BuyNo<1¢	$4
97d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on July 11?	BuyNo>99¢	$2,027
98d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 11?	BuyNo>99¢	$2,027
98d	Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 10?	BuyNo>99¢	$2,023
99d	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 10?	BuyNo>99¢	$2,020
99d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 9?	BuyNo>99¢	$2,016
100d	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 9?	BuyNo>99¢	$2,012
101d	Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 7?	BuyYes<1¢	$4
103d	Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 5?	BuyYes<1¢	$4
107d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2?	BuyNo99¢	$11
118d	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$5
149d	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	BuyNo99¢	$5
157d	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$5
165d	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	BuyNo95¢	$2
166d	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	BuyNo98¢	$1
178d	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$5
190d	Trump out as President by April 30?	BuyNo98¢	$5
204d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 27?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
215d	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 16?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
227d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 4?	BuyYes<1¢	$3
233d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 26?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
237d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 22?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
245d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 14?	BuyYes<1¢	$4
250d	Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on February 9?	BuyYes<1¢	$3
257d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?	BuyNo99¢	$1
259d	Will the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on January 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,036
260d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 30?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,034
261d	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?	BuyNo100¢	$1
261d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 29?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,034
262d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on January 28?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,033
263d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 27?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,031
264d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 26?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,030
265d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 25?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,028
266d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 24?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,025
267d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on January 23?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,025
268d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 22?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,023
269d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 21?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,021
270d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 20?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,018
280d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 10?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
280d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 10?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
280d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 10?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
280d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 10?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
280d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 10?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
280d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 10?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
313d	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	SellNo>99¢	$5
313d	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	BuyNo>99¢	$6

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 31 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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