Disguised-Output

Polymarket wallet 0x4d826f2ad8b4fa42d7ad08b940b696857d78a5e9 · on Polymarket since Apr 8, 2026

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$550
Volume traded: $119K
All-time rank: #2,967,946
Markets traded: 85
Recent hit rate: 62%31 of last 50 closed

Open positions

4 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Settled - ready to redeem	No	603	79¢ → 0¢	$0	−$474 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1,003	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$646 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Settled - ready to redeem	No	945	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$350 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Settled - ready to redeem	No	799	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$272 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
60d	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	SellYes15¢	$747
60d	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?	SellYes11¢	$106
81d	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?	BuyYes86¢	$550
81d	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	SellYes4¢	$19
81d	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	SellYes13¢	$531
81d	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?	BuyYes84¢	$307
84d	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	BuyYes16¢	$104
84d	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	BuyYes26¢	$104
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?	SellNo45¢	$103
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	SellYes58¢	$217
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	BuyNo82¢	$201
85d	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	BuyYes25¢	$104
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?	SellNo93¢	$500
86d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	BuyNo80¢	$74
86d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	BuyYes53¢	$204
86d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	SellYes>99¢	$278
86d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?	BuyNo90¢	$487
86d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	BuyYes91¢	$100
86d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	BuyNo75¢	$202
86d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?	BuyNo43¢	$102
88d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	SellYes36¢	$57
89d	Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	BuySpain77¢	$101
91d	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	BuyYes24¢	$104
91d	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	BuyYes24¢	$104
91d	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	BuyYes23¢	$104
94d	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 14?	SellUp>99¢	$235
94d	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	SellYes94¢	$236
95d	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	BuyYes29¢	$5
95d	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	BuyYes28¢	$10
95d	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 14?	BuyUp85¢	$101
95d	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 14?	BuyUp85¢	$101
95d	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	BuyYes31¢	$103
95d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	BuyYes30¢	$103
95d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	BuyYes58¢	$102
95d	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$18
95d	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	BuyYes20¢	$312
95d	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	SellYes91¢	$130
95d	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	BuyYes20¢	$19
103d	GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?	BuyYes91¢	$301
103d	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes70¢	$101
107d	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	BuyYes80¢	$202
108d	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	BuyYes70¢	$101
109d	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	SellYes1¢	$1
115d	Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Spread: Germany (-1.5) AND Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) AND Spread: Morocco (-1.5) AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	Buy2¢	$5
115d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	SellNo99¢	$835
118d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	BuyNo90¢	$379
118d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?	SellNo97¢	$379
118d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	BuyNo89¢	$379
118d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?	SellNo97¢	$379
125d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?	BuyNo82¢	$4
125d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?	BuyNo83¢	$503
125d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?	BuyNo85¢	$402
125d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?	BuyNo84¢	$267
125d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?	SellNo93¢	$1,176
126d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?	BuyNo77¢	$7
126d	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	SellYes3¢	$8
128d	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	SellYes86¢	$207
129d	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	SellYes93¢	$111
129d	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	BuyYes25¢	$10
129d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?	BuyNo82¢	$302

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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