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Polymarket wallet 0x4e460d2d92c1609f582c5c0bc08e09ffdb2ed083 · on Polymarket since Jun 9, 2026 · also shown as Polite-Survivor
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +64% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.