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Polymarket wallet 0x5b4f8e3d67a55aa022f3437cb159ee4d1489694b · on Polymarket since Nov 21, 2025 · also shown as Vague-Bracelet
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 386 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Trump out as President in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 414 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 293d | Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? | BuyYes2¢ | $6 |
| 325d | Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? | BuyYes17¢ | $12 |
| 325d | Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 25? | SellYes1¢ | $0 |
| 327d | Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? | BuyYes16¢ | $2 |
| 327d | Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30? | SellYes4¢ | $2 |
| 327d | Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? | BuyYes13¢ | $8 |
| 327d | Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 25? | BuyYes18¢ | $5 |
| 327d | Will South Africa win? | SellYes26¢ | $4 |
| 327d | Will South Africa win? | BuyYes30¢ | $5 |
| 327d | Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30? | BuyNo<1¢ | $3 |
| 330d | Trump out as President in 2025? | BuyYes3¢ | $12 |
| 330d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SellYes37¢ | $12 |
| 330d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BuyYes38¢ | $12 |
| 330d | Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30? | BuyYes11¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.