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Polymarket wallet 0x82f3acbf25fb19896771444a4da03da28fd511d8 · on Polymarket since Feb 15, 2026 · also shown as Tall-Movie
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 695 | 72¢ → 92¢ | $640 | +$137 +27% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,301 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,191 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108d | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | BuyYes52¢ | $1,191 |
| 108d | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | SellNo66¢ | $1,180 |
| 110d | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | BuyNo78¢ | $1,400 |
| 111d | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ | $1,411 |
| 124d | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo73¢ | $1,038 |
| 124d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | SellYes90¢ | $1,038 |
| 166d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes69¢ | $796 |
| 171d | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | SellNo100¢ | $796 |
| 185d | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo75¢ | $600 |
| 190d | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | BuyNo72¢ | $502 |
| 190d | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes83¢ | $500 |
| 229d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BuyYes66¢ | $662 |
| 231d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SellYes86¢ | $662 |
| 243d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes13¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.