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Polymarket wallet 0x849b410fc7a902250aa6d2a3f7993f558fd5e7a5 · on Polymarket since Feb 26, 2026 · also shown as Negative-Tracksuit
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,558 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,045 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,811 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$264 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 673 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,346 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$706 −100% |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,294 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$248 −100% |
| Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,823 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | PARIVISION | 1,242 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$167 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.