| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,249 | 17¢ → 87¢ | $1,080 | +$865 +402% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 265 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $251 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 356 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $247 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 233 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $223 | +$6 +2.9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 160 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $138 | +$25 +22% |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | No | 1,172 | 20¢ → 11¢ | $127 | −$108 −46% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 104 | 75¢ → >99¢ | $104 | +$26 +33% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Ends in 85d | No | 133 | 54¢ → 74¢ | $98 | +$26 +36% |
| Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election?Ends in 17d | No | 106 | 95¢ → 89¢ | $94 | −$7 −6.8% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 299 | 42¢ → 31¢ | $91 | −$34 −27% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 104 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $83 | +$4 +4.6% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | No | 233 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $82 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $80 | −$5 −5.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 237 | 25¢ → 31¢ | $72 | +$14 +23% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 98 | 61¢ → 73¢ | $72 | +$12 +20% |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?Ends in 75d | Yes | 826 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $70 | −$29 −29% |
| Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | No | 270 | 26¢ → 26¢ | $70 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 239d | No | 102 | 62¢ → 68¢ | $69 | +$6 +10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 67 | 46¢ → >99¢ | $67 | +$36 +117% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | No | 80 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $67 | +$5 +8.1% |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 97 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $65 | +$3 +4.7% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 287 | 47¢ → 22¢ | $62 | −$72 −54% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | No | 986 | 30¢ → 6¢ | $59 | −$240 −80% |
| Will Jynxzi reach Unreal rank in Fortnite by October 19, 2026? (copy)Ends in 2d | Yes | 159 | 22¢ → 35¢ | $56 | +$21 +59% |
| Texas Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 16d | Paxton | 392 | 30¢ → 14¢ | $53 | −$64 −55% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 299 | 28¢ → 17¢ | $49 | −$34 −41% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 223 | 18¢ → 21¢ | $46 | +$5 +14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 70 | 72¢ → 62¢ | $44 | −$7 −14% |
| Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 239d | No | 50 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $41 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 48 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $40 | +$4 +10% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 51 | 68¢ → 78¢ | $39 | +$5 +15% |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 570 | 2¢ → 7¢ | $39 | +$27 +214% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 48 | 72¢ → 82¢ | $39 | +$5 +13% |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,229 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $35 | +$16 +89% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 114 | 35¢ → 30¢ | $34 | −$6 −16% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 244 | 26¢ → 14¢ | $33 | −$31 −48% |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 97 | 44¢ → 33¢ | $32 | −$10 −24% |
| Will Saquon Barkley have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | No | 124 | 18¢ → 23¢ | $29 | +$7 +31% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 223 | 32¢ → 12¢ | $27 | −$45 −63% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 300 | 41¢ → 9¢ | $25 | −$96 −79% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-01 House election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 121 | 22¢ → 21¢ | $25 | −$1 −3.9% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.50 and $8.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 28 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $23 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Plague case in US by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 302 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $23 | −$13 −37% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 72 | 41¢ → 32¢ | $23 | −$7 −23% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 300 | 16¢ → 7¢ | $21 | −$27 −56% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 69 | 32¢ → 30¢ | $20 | −$2 −8.2% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 48 | 41¢ → 37¢ | $18 | −$2 −11% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 29 | 65¢ → 56¢ | $17 | −$3 −13% |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 21 | 63¢ → 74¢ | $16 | +$2 +17% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 38 | 33¢ → 36¢ | $14 | +$1 +9.0% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 41 | 40¢ → 32¢ | $13 | −$3 −20% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | Yes | 130 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $13 | −$4 −23% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 280 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $13 | −$10 −44% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 27 | 40¢ → 40¢ | $11 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 16 | 59¢ → 63¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 10 | 73¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$2 +30% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 10 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$1 +5.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 96 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $9 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 36 | 17¢ → 23¢ | $8 | +$2 +32% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 55 | 36¢ → 14¢ | $8 | −$12 −60% |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Ends in 752d | Yes | 165 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $8 | +$2 +26% |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 99 | 67¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$59 −89% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 53 | 32¢ → 11¢ | $6 | −$11 −67% |
| Will Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 110 | 28¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$25 −83% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Ends in 95d | Yes | 300 | 17¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$47 −91% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 239d | Yes | 41 | 9¢ → 11¢ | $5 | +$1 +23% |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 70 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $5 | −$3 −37% |
| Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$5 −55% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 27¢ → 85¢ | $4 | +$3 +213% |
| Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Ends in 752d | Yes | 64 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $4 | +$1 +44% |
| Will Guitarricadelafuente be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 11 | 38¢ → 38¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 10 | 37¢ → 37¢ | $4 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 19 | 15¢ → 19¢ | $4 | +$1 +20% |
| Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 239d | Yes | 17 | 18¢ → 21¢ | $4 | +$0 +14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 6 | 58¢ → 55¢ | $3 | −$0 −6.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 27 | 9¢ → 11¢ | $3 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 3 | 24¢ → 95¢ | $3 | +$2 +295% |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 55 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $3 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?Ends in 8h | No | 279 | 22¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$60 −96% |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 55 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$1 −26% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 5 | 45¢ → 46¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 4 | 55¢ → 60¢ | $2 | +$0 +9.1% |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 3 | 19¢ → 73¢ | $2 | +$2 +282% |
| Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2 | 85¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | Yes | 3 | 55¢ → 65¢ | $2 | +$0 +18% |
| Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?Ends in 8h | Yes | 135 | 26¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$34 −97% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$8 −88% |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 32 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −46% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 3 | 45¢ → 28¢ | $1 | −$0 −37% |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $220B?Ends in 195d | No | 3 | 36¢ → 25¢ | $1 | −$0 −31% |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | Yes | 9 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?Ends in 195d | No | 14 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$1 −47% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 1 | 45¢ → 64¢ | $1 | +$0 +41% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 26¢ → 11¢ | $0 | −$1 −57% |
| Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 239d | Yes | 2 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $0 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1 | 16¢ → 37¢ | $0 | +$0 +128% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 132 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −94% |
| Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −25% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 127 | 39¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
