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Polymarket wallet 0x8922fe80146d3c86a21b9c5b40bac75e69b9f01d · on Polymarket since Nov 4, 2024 · also shown as Flawed-Mean
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$4 +69% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 90 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.