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Polymarket wallet 0x8cec03c8e0e328f2b9d48bb1247bd8ea3f6e96c0 · on Polymarket since Jan 25, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.6% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,606 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$469 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 470 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 257d | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $469 |
| 259d | US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $90 |
| 259d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SellNo87¢ | $84 |
| 259d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo88¢ | $80 |
| 259d | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $200 |
| 259d | Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10 |
| 259d | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10 |
| 264d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo88¢ | $5 |
| 264d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ | $2 |
| 264d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $2 |
| 264d | Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo19¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.