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Polymarket wallet 0xa1cc5447893617240a80c098783f56304eff3ddb · on Polymarket since Dec 7, 2025 · also shown as Late-Gaffer
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 1,697 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $283 | −$2 −0.9% |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,733 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$674 −100% |
| Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$479 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 206 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 227 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.