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Polymarket wallet 0xa2f7da879bee5be7dff94c942a6d24f8916868fb · on Polymarket since Jun 16, 2025 · also shown as Bad-Affinity

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$172
Volume traded: $102K
All-time rank: #2,764,840
Markets traded: 28
Recent hit rate: 34%10 of last 29 closed

Open positions

1 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	528	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$79 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
213d	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SellYes72¢	$2,316
214d	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BuyYes76¢	$2,449
217d	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SellYes73¢	$1,982
219d	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BuyYes71¢	$1,000
219d	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BuyYes77¢	$1,000
219d	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SellYes65¢	$2,467
221d	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BuyYes58¢	$286
222d	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BuyYes60¢	$2,000
222d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?	SellYes99¢	$1,473
222d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	SellYes>99¢	$813
222d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?	BuyYes98¢	$1,458
223d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?	SellYes41¢	$462
223d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?	SellYes48¢	$539
223d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	SellYes16¢	$215
223d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	SellYes18¢	$243
223d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?	BuyYes54¢	$610
223d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	BuyYes36¢	$300
223d	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SellYes98¢	$909
224d	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)	SellYes4¢	$0
224d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?	BuyYes60¢	$211
224d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	BuyYes34¢	$200
224d	Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?	SellYes99¢	$411
224d	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BuyYes15¢	$79
224d	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SellYes97¢	$79
224d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?	BuyYes50¢	$391
224d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	BuyYes40¢	$400
224d	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)	BuyYes33¢	$1
224d	Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?	SellYes61¢	$363
224d	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SellYes14¢	$97
224d	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BuyYes14¢	$100
224d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	BuyYes16¢	$37
224d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BuyYes61¢	$500
224d	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SellYes96¢	$969
228d	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BuyYes71¢	$411
228d	Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	SellYes75¢	$411
228d	Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BuyYes87¢	$476
228d	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SellYes80¢	$476
228d	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BuyYes73¢	$1,058
228d	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BuyYes84¢	$500
229d	Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?	BuyYes71¢	$100
229d	Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?	BuyYes74¢	$100
229d	Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?	BuyYes69¢	$100
229d	Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?	BuyYes69¢	$100
229d	Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?	BuyYes68¢	$100
229d	Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?	BuyYes63¢	$100
229d	Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?	BuyYes71¢	$100
229d	Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?	SellNo1¢	$8
229d	Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?	SellNo1¢	$14
229d	Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?	BuyNo14¢	$100
229d	Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?	BuyNo10¢	$50
229d	Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?	BuyNo8¢	$100
229d	Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?	SellYes91¢	$2,484
229d	Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?	SellYes91¢	$2
229d	Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?	BuyYes85¢	$2
229d	Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?	BuyYes92¢	$1,490
229d	Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?	BuyYes90¢	$1,000
230d	Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?	SellYes33¢	$20
230d	Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?	SellYes12¢	$30
230d	Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?	BuyYes76¢	$45
230d	Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	SellYes91¢	$45

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 29 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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