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Polymarket wallet 0xa561bf8c12670a13f81a7d4bdd5b7c260cc7bae4 · on Polymarket since Jan 30, 2026 · also shown as Fluid-Eardrum
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +19% |
| Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.4% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.