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Polymarket wallet 0xa88ca442f94ea06e627ad4898c4c22a4dac041ba · on Polymarket since Dec 24, 2024 · also shown as Alarming-Centurion
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 86 | 58¢ → 100¢ | $86 | +$36 +72% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 65¢ → 100¢ | $31 | +$11 +54% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $24 | +$4 +19% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 111 | 27¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$24 −80% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,461 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.