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Polymarket wallet 0xac1faef29f2d8dd489f74b5bf8944d85963e68f1 · on Polymarket since Mar 5, 2025 · also shown as Illiterate-Spectacles
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 759 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 375 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,490 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$349 −100% |
| Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,006 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 396 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 561 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,667 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$350 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 668 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 260d | US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | BuyYes21¢ | $350 |
| 274d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellYes7¢ | $350 |
| 276d | Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $90 |
| 282d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes18¢ | $900 |
| 482d | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | BuyYes2¢ | $8 |
| 487d | Will Khamenei leave Iran before July? | BuyYes13¢ | $50 |
| 487d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August? | BuyYes45¢ | $300 |
| 487d | Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday? | BuyYes5¢ | $100 |
| 487d | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | BuyYes3¢ | $341 |
| 488d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyYes18¢ | $100 |
| 488d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes27¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.