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Polymarket wallet 0xafc8e44fb90dde283d0c6f96ecd8c3fd63be2ca2 · on Polymarket since Jan 20, 2026 · also shown as Thorny-Radiosonde
ehhhh life is so hard
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 7d | Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $2 |
| 7d | Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6 |
| 7d | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BuyNo94¢ | $1 |
| 7d | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 7d | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? AND Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10? | Buy75¢ | $0 |
| 33d | Rennes: Max Schoenhaus vs Patrick Brady AND Szczecin: Tiago Pereira vs Rudolf Molleker | Buy49¢ | $0 |
| 33d | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | BuyYes62¢ | $1 |
| 33d | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BuyNo43¢ | $1 |
| 33d | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BuyNo95¢ | $1 |
| 33d | Dana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Oscar Ravello vs. Igor Cavalcanti (Middleweight, Main Card) | Buy72¢ | $0 |
| 33d | UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) AND UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) | Buy64¢ | $0 |
| 33d | UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | Buy63¢ | $0 |
| 33d | Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Oscar Ravello vs. Igor Cavalcanti (Middleweight, Main Card) | Buy50¢ | $0 |
| 33d | Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card) | Buy50¢ | $0 |
| 33d | Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest AND Portland State vs. Oregon AND Houston vs. Texas Tech | Buy70¢ | $0 |
| 33d | Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest AND Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh | Buy76¢ | $0 |
| 33d | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | Buy16¢ | $0 |
| 33d | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | Buy13¢ | $0 |
| 33d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | SellNo45¢ | $2 |
| 41d | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SellNo41¢ | $8 |
| 41d | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SellNo41¢ | $14 |
| 42d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo29¢ | $1 |
| 46d | 49ers vs. Rams: O/U 48.5 AND Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 48.5 AND 49ers vs. Rams AND Cowboys vs. Giants | Buy6¢ | $0 |
| 46d | 49ers vs. Rams: O/U 48.5 AND Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5 AND Saints vs. Lions: O/U 49.5 AND Bears vs. Panthers: O/U 47.5 | Buy6¢ | $0 |
| 46d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 46d | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ | $1 |
| 46d | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SellNo85¢ | $1 |
| 46d | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BuyNo86¢ | $1 |
| 46d | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SellNo98¢ | $1 |
| 46d | Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | SellNo95¢ | $1 |
| 58d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 58d | Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 58d | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 58d | SF vs. LAC: O/U 39.5 AND LV vs. HOU: O/U 40.5 | Buy35¢ | $0 |
| 58d | SF vs. LAC: O/U 39.5 AND Spread: SF (-1.5) AND LV vs. HOU: O/U 40.5 AND Spread: HOU (-1.5) | Buy9¢ | $0 |
| 58d | 49ers vs. Chargers AND SF vs. LAC: O/U 39.5 AND Raiders vs. Texans AND LV vs. HOU: O/U 40.5 | Buy10¢ | $0 |
| 58d | Spread: SF (-1.5) AND Spread: HOU (-1.5) | Buy31¢ | $0 |
| 58d | 49ers vs. Chargers AND Raiders vs. Texans | Buy28¢ | $0 |
| 58d | 49ers vs. Chargers AND Raiders vs. Texans | Buy26¢ | $0 |
| 58d | Spread: LAC (-1.5) AND Spread: HOU (-1.5) | Buy35¢ | $0 |
| 58d | 49ers vs. Chargers AND Raiders vs. Texans | Buy26¢ | $0 |
| 58d | 49ers vs. Chargers AND Raiders vs. Texans | Buy24¢ | $0 |
| 58d | SF vs. LAC: O/U 39.5 AND NYJ vs. PIT: O/U 39.5 AND LV vs. HOU: O/U 40.5 | Buy23¢ | $0 |
| 58d | Spread: LAC (-1.5) AND Spread: HOU (-1.5) | Buy22¢ | $0 |
| 58d | SF vs. LAC: O/U 39.5 AND LV vs. HOU: O/U 40.5 | Buy21¢ | $0 |
| 58d | Packers vs. Broncos AND 49ers vs. Chargers AND Raiders vs. Texans | Buy17¢ | $0 |
| 58d | Panthers vs. Jaguars AND Packers vs. Broncos AND Jets vs. Steelers | Buy16¢ | $0 |
| 58d | Ravens vs. Vikings AND Bills vs. Browns | Buy16¢ | $0 |
| 58d | 49ers vs. Chargers AND Raiders vs. Texans AND Jets vs. Steelers | Buy15¢ | $0 |
| 58d | 49ers vs. Chargers AND Raiders vs. Texans AND Jets vs. Steelers | Buy14¢ | $0 |
| 58d | 49ers vs. Chargers AND Raiders vs. Texans AND Jets vs. Steelers | Buy13¢ | $0 |
| 58d | 49ers vs. Chargers AND Raiders vs. Texans AND Jets vs. Steelers | Buy13¢ | $0 |
| 58d | SF vs. LAC: O/U 39.5 AND NYJ vs. PIT: O/U 39.5 AND LV vs. HOU: O/U 40.5 AND CAR vs. JAX: O/U 39.5 | Buy16¢ | $0 |
| 58d | 49ers vs. Chargers AND Raiders vs. Texans AND Jets vs. Steelers | Buy12¢ | $0 |
| 58d | SF vs. LAC: O/U 39.5 AND BUF vs. CLE: O/U 39.5 AND NYJ vs. PIT: O/U 39.5 AND CAR vs. JAX: O/U 39.5 AND CHI vs. CIN: O/U 40.5 | Buy11¢ | $0 |
| 58d | 49ers vs. Chargers AND SF vs. LAC: O/U 39.5 AND Raiders vs. Texans AND LV vs. HOU: O/U 40.5 | Buy51¢ | $0 |
| 58d | 49ers vs. Chargers AND SF vs. LAC: O/U 39.5 AND Raiders vs. Texans AND LV vs. HOU: O/U 40.5 | Buy50¢ | $0 |
| 58d | 49ers vs. Chargers AND SF vs. LAC: O/U 39.5 AND Raiders vs. Texans AND LV vs. HOU: O/U 40.5 | Buy50¢ | $0 |
| 58d | Panthers vs. Jaguars AND Packers vs. Broncos AND Jets vs. Steelers | Buy9¢ | $0 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.