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Polymarket wallet 0xbef5ab169458cb47c5d233e067dff4447fad1c5a · on Polymarket since Dec 24, 2024 · also shown as Rusty-Canoe
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 19,049 | 77¢ → 85¢ | $16,097 | +$1,434 +9.8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10,003 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $8,853 | +$576 +7.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,000 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $2,160 | $0 0.0% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,660 | 59¢ → 81¢ | $1,336 | +$351 +36% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7,000 | 46¢ → 14¢ | $945 | −$2,275 −71% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 11,345 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $601 | −$922 −61% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 3,353 | 17¢ → 2¢ | $72 | −$495 −87% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $5 | −$0 −3.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 473 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$284 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 44 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.