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Polymarket wallet 0xc3b62ea2ea3c209732366c6990f0e772aaba9d7d · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2026 · also shown as Essential-Change
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 30¢ → 100¢ | $333 | +$233 +233% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 270 | 37¢ → 100¢ | $270 | +$170 +170% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 216 | 18¢ → 100¢ | $216 | +$176 +441% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 152 | 66¢ → 100¢ | $152 | +$52 +52% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 303 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,608 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,042 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124d | Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | BuyYes18¢ | $21 |
| 124d | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BuyYes3¢ | $21 |
| 124d | Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | BuyYes19¢ | $21 |
| 124d | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BuyYes5¢ | $107 |
| 140d | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BuyYes48¢ | $528 |
| 140d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BuyYes20¢ | $532 |
| 140d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | SellYes19¢ | $404 |
| 140d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BuyYes22¢ | $532 |
| 217d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BuyYes30¢ | $100 |
| 217d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyNo66¢ | $100 |
| 282d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes37¢ | $100 |
| 282d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes33¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.