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Polymarket wallet 0xcd1c59f55401336462f8a144e90b2124cb1f61d7 · on Polymarket since May 18, 2024 · also shown as Disloyal-Omelet
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?Ends in 75d | No | 530 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $514 | +$14 +2.8% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 527 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $497 | −$3 −0.7% |
| Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,193 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $32 | −$68 −68% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 33¢ → 16¢ | $31 | −$34 −52% |
| Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 30 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $21 | +$2 +8.3% |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 110 | 27¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$26 −85% |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 240 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.