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Polymarket wallet 0xd598b38eaa3c1db1de009ba81fcb1c4de78c24e5 · on Polymarket since Jan 24, 2026 · also shown as Steep-Paint
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 56¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +79% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11,954 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$528 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 192d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BuyNo4¢ | $528 |
| 192d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SellNo4¢ | $664 |
| 194d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BuyNo98¢ | $17,481 |
| 197d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SellYes55¢ | $4,239 |
| 197d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes58¢ | $4,460 |
| 199d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyNo79¢ | $1 |
| 199d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SellNo78¢ | $17,824 |
| 231d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyNo54¢ | $3,594 |
| 231d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyNo55¢ | $8,950 |
| 231d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SellYes49¢ | $8,950 |
| 231d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes58¢ | $10,499 |
| 231d | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,444 |
| 239d | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | BuyYes56¢ | $1 |
| 239d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyNo62¢ | $1 |
| 266d | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes67¢ | $2,998 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.