| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 256 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $249 | +$14 +6.0% |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 204 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $200 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Will Ukraine win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?Ends in 45d | No | 179 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $174 | +$35 +25% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 216 | 4¢ → 69¢ | $148 | +$140 +1623% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 254 | 47¢ → 42¢ | $105 | −$15 −12% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 18?Ends in 2h | No | 104 | 61¢ → 94¢ | $98 | +$34 +52% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 18?Ends in 2h | No | 65 | >99¢ → 98¢ | $64 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 83 | 76¢ → 70¢ | $59 | −$5 −7.8% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 18?Ends in 2h | No | 54 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $54 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 364 | 14¢ → 12¢ | $44 | −$8 −15% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 66¢ → 71¢ | $41 | +$3 +7.9% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 18?Ends in 2h | No | 39 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $39 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 41¢ → 57¢ | $38 | +$11 +39% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $38 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $38 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $38 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | >99¢ → 99¢ | $38 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $38 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $36 | +$2 +4.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 44 | 2¢ → 71¢ | $32 | +$31 +3973% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 31 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $29 | +$2 +9.0% |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 28 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $27 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | Yes | 108 | 3¢ → 21¢ | $22 | +$19 +537% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?Ends in 16d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 19 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $19 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 256 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $18 | +$2 +13% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | 66¢ → 43¢ | $16 | −$9 −34% |
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $15 | −$1 −5.7% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | No | 41 | 34¢ → 35¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?Ends in 45d | Yes | 29 | 14¢ → 46¢ | $13 | +$9 +224% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 52 | 4¢ → 17¢ | $9 | +$7 +312% |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 40 | 9¢ → 20¢ | $8 | +$4 +116% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 18?Ends in 2h | No | 127 | 40¢ → 6¢ | $8 | −$43 −85% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 7¢ → 66¢ | $7 | +$6 +896% |
| Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?Ends in 3d | No | 7 | 66¢ → 75¢ | $6 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 19 | 26¢ → 28¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.0% |
| Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 2h | No | 26 | 72¢ → 19¢ | $5 | −$14 −73% |
| Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 373 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$49 −92% |
| Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on December 31?Ends in 77d | Yes | 10 | 30¢ → 41¢ | $4 | +$1 +33% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 27 | 7¢ → 15¢ | $4 | +$2 +118% |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 203 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $4 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 51 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $4 | +$2 +77% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 43 | 2¢ → 8¢ | $4 | +$3 +282% |
| Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 56 | 2¢ → 6¢ | $3 | +$2 +171% |
| Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 767 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$28 −90% |
| Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31?Ends in 77d | Yes | 10 | 17¢ → 31¢ | $3 | +$1 +79% |
| Will Lyon win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 56 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $3 | +$2 +125% |
| Will Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Ends in 2h | Yes | 89 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 501 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$69 −96% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 51 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$0 +21% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 5 | 3¢ → 44¢ | $2 | +$2 +1397% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 65¢ → 43¢ | $2 | −$1 −34% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 348 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$4 −69% |
| Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 443 | 14¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$62 −97% |
| Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 56 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $2 | +$0 +18% |
| Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 119 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −43% |
| Will Bernard Arnault be 3rd richest person on December 31?Ends in 77d | Yes | 10 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$0 −20% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 7¢ → 13¢ | $1 | +$1 +97% |
| Will Chang Ching win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 632 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$18 −93% |
| Will Levski Sofia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 56 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.6% |
| Will Lech Poznan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 56 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −9.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 4 | 88¢ → 28¢ | $1 | −$2 −68% |
| Will Ararat-Armenia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 56 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −20% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on December 31?Ends in 77d | Yes | 10 | 28¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$2 −66% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 2¢ → 25¢ | $1 | +$1 +1298% |
| Will Chiu Yi-ying win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 632 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$18 −95% |
| Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d | No | 1 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.7% |
| Will Lillestrom win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 56 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −37% |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,590 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$63 −99% |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,590 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$63 −99% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,590 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$63 −99% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,590 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$63 −99% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,590 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$63 −99% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,590 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$63 −99% |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,458 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$25 −97% |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,402 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$24 −97% |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,368 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$23 −97% |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,323 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$23 −97% |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,313 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$22 −97% |
| Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 51 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −69% |
| Will Hsu Chih-chieh win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 632 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −97% |
| Will OFI win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 56 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −54% |
| Will Omonia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 56 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −60% |
| Will Germany win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 239d | Yes | 11 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −18% |
| Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $0 | +$0 +198% |
| Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 902 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$36 −99% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +36% |
| Will Dinamo Zagreb win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 56 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −73% |
