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Polymarket wallet 0xf4c8fbf0275d72514e945db0f530ddbe3c321e89 · on Polymarket since Oct 5, 2024 · also shown as Frugal-Branch
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $250 | +$51 +25% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 22 - 28)Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 34 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.