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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Paz | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Samuel Doria Medina | 0% | — | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrónico Rodríguez | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | 0% | 0 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manfred Reyes Villa | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eduardo del Castillo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 423d | StarryPath | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,165 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 423d |  m0rt | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,135 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 423d | isw | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 423d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae1623 fills | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,939 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 423d |  exit-liqudity | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 423d | nicdan | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo>99¢ | $1,472 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 423d | kcnyekchno | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo>99¢ | $5,756 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 423d | nhpx38txna0500 | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,858 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 423d | wokerjoesleeper | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $4,104 | −$16 −0.4% | — |
| 423d |  tunatyler | Samuel Doria Medina | SellNo>99¢ | $3,876 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 423d |  debased | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,683 | +$11 +0.3% | 10 |
| 423d | affs20791 | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $29,150 | −$58 −0.2% | — |
| 423d | dafa23 | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $3,252 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 423d |  GregSharp2 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $2,289 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 423d |  ciro22 fills | Samuel Doria Medina | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $20,196 | −$828 −4.1% | — |
| 424d |  gopfan2 | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo>99¢ | $14,663 | −$44 −0.3% | — |
| 424d |  ScottyNooo | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes100¢ | $3,409 | +$17 +0.5% | 10 |
| 424d | ExDeus | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $2,595 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 424d | k00pa | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes100¢ | $4,975 | +$25 +0.5% | 10 |
| 424d | dafa23 | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,255 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 424d | Bukaj0889 | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$20 +0.5% | 10 |
| 424d | GreedyCat | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $1,204 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 424d | h0a80 | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 424d |  d1k212 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,991 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 424d |  s1992 | Samuel Doria Medina | SellNo>99¢ | $1,927 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 424d | s19923 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $10,279 | −$21 −0.2% | — |
| 424d | nonkenny904 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $45,859 | −$281 −0.6% | — |
| 424d | anciano | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | −$22 −1.8% | — |
| 424d | cigarettes | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $22,221 | −$430 −1.9% | — |
| 424d | AZwater2 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $34,217 | −$54 −0.2% | — |
| 424d | sdiff123 | Samuel Doria Medina | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 424d | sdiff123 | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,981 | −$19 −0.9% | — |
| 424d | asdfgo | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,114 | +$16 +0.3% | 10 |
| 424d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo>99¢ | $4,828 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 424d | TradeDeficitArchitect | Samuel Doria Medina | SellNo>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 425d |  nigamoon | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo100¢ | $2,955 | +$15 +0.5% | 10 |
| 425d | montty | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,869 | −$47 −1.2% | — |
| 425d | Bukaj08892 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$284 +1.4% | 10 |
| 425d | DiscoChino2 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,578 | −$52 −1.1% | — |
| 425d |  0xdc3E831cad | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,509 | −$39 −1.1% | — |
| 425d | Spon | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo100¢ | $1,552 | +$8 +0.5% | 10 |
| 425d | h0a80 | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,980 | +$20 +0.5% | 10 |
| 425d | cigarettes6 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,258 | +$353 +2.9% | 10 |
| 425d | lissartter | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo>99¢ | $4,820 | −$17 −0.4% | — |
| 425d |  Cookedtan5 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,479 | +$147 +1.3% | 10 |
| 425d | aff3 | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $1,057 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 425d |  Morbuu | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,161 | +$13 +0.6% | 10 |
| 425d |  Novus0rdoSeclorum | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,784 | −$36 −1.0% | — |
| 425d | d1k21 | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | +$11 +0.8% | 10 |
| 425d |  ezyoracle | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $1,660 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 425d |  HyperPoor | Samuel Doria Medina | SellNo>99¢ | $2,016 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 425d |  Bot58702 fills | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo56¢ → 100¢ | $3,172 | −$2,501 −79% | — |
| 425d | ScottyNooo | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,437 | +$7 +0.3% | 10 |
| 425d | d1k21 | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,871 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 425d | HyperPoor | Samuel Doria Medina | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,555 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 425d |  WordleAddict2 fills | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,798 | −$58 −1.5% | — |
| 425d |  archaic | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,638 | +$33 +2.0% | 10 |
| 425d |  sorcerer.01 | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,723 | +$53 +3.1% | 10 |
| 425d | ciro2 | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,290 | +$489 +5.3% | 10 |
| 425d | kcnyekchno | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,474 | +$288 +5.3% | 10 |
BabyYoda123,708 sharesBolivia's general elections are scheduled for 17 August 2025, with a runoff on 19 October if no candidate wins outright by securing over 50% of valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Bolivian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Rodrigo Paz means the market gives it about 100%.