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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,000+ | 0% | −87 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2,200+ | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2,100+ | 0% | −72 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1,800+ | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $2,400+ | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2,300+ | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1,900+ | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $2,600+ | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37d |  Raskell | $2,200+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,657 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 37d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e24 fills | $1,800+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,283 | +$197 +1.3% | 20 |
| 37d | Raskell | $2,300+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,262 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 37d | Fulgurator | $2,200+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,090 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 37d |  kejsi | $2,300+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,909 | +$24 +0.8% | 20 |
| 37d | kejsi | $2,200+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$54 +1.1% | 20 |
| 37d |  balthazar | $2,300+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$20 +1.4% | 20 |
| 37d | DOMOTO39 | $2,000+ | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,900 | +$376 +13% | 20 |
| 38d | CauchyBraids | $2,000+ | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$282 +24% | 20 |
| 38d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | $2,400+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,863 | +$22 +1.2% | 20 |
| 38d |  vinii | $2,100+ | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$188 +14% | 20 |
| 38d | vinii | $2,200+ | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | +$56 +4.8% | 20 |
| 38d | Unfinished-July | $2,300+ | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$42 +3.8% | 20 |
| 38d | Unfinished-July | $2,100+ | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,213 | +$864 +21% | 20 |
| 38d | Unfinished-July | $2,200+ | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$334 +19% | 20 |
| 38d | Unfinished-July2 fills | $2,000+ | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $4,492 | +$3,327 +74% | 20 |
| 38d | wqujvj | $2,000+ | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,018 | +$1,080 +54% | 20 |
| 38d |  MEPP | $2,000+ | BuyYes89¢ → 0¢ | $1,547 | −$1,547 −100% | 20 |
| 40d | Dafri220286 | $1,800+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$34 +3.2% | 20 |
| 42d | vinii | $2,600+ | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$79 +7.5% | 20 |
DOLLAR-PRINTER2,422 shares
0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e051,029 shares
Mastertraderbaiter1,000 sharesApple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $2,000+ means the market gives it about 0%.