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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2% | 100% | +56 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ≤0.0% | 0% | −3 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.1% | 0% | −10 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.3% | 0% | −33 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.4% | 0% | −11 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ≥0.5% | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 431d | just-andrew | ≤0.0% | SellNo>99¢ | $4,068 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 431d |  aabbcc15234 | ≥0.5% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,013 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 431d | aabbcc15234 | ≤0.0% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,925 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 431d | Mimn | 0.2% | SellYes>99¢ | $9,108 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 431d | Formulaa | 0.2% | SellYes>99¢ | $5,013 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 431d | Nguyencz | 0.2% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,621 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 431d | Poiuztrewq | 0.2% | SellYes>99¢ | $3,014 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 431d |  noreasapa | 0.3% | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,207 | +$178 +4.2% | 11 |
| 431d | noreasapa | 0.2% | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $10,305 | +$1,334 +13% | 12 |
| 431d | noreasapa | 0.4% | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $30,878 | +$2,262 +7.3% | 11 |
| 432d | coco040678 | 0.4% | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,994 | +$174 +8.7% | 11 |
| 432d | just-andrew | ≤0.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,024 | +$47 +1.2% | 10 |
| 433d | Grinder1234 fills | 0.1% | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $6,352 | +$940 +15% | 10 |
| 434d | Bukaj0889 | 0.4% | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$83 +4.2% | 10 |
| 434d | Bukaj0889 | ≤0.0% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$43 +2.1% | 10 |
| 435d | Grinder123 | ≤0.0% | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$43 +4.1% | 10 |
| 436d | exposito | 0.4% | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,570 | +$139 +8.9% | 10 |
| 436d | QMG-CORE | ≤0.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | +$18 +1.3% | 10 |
| 438d |  AlAhmeda | 0.4% | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,088 | +$285 +14% | 10 |
| 439d | Dustyribbons | ≤0.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,513 | +$28 +0.6% | 10 |
| 441d | aureli | ≤0.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$8 +0.8% | 10 |
| 441d | aureli | 0.1% | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$104 +9.9% | 10 |
| 441d | aureli2 fills | 0.4% | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,101 | +$273 +13% | 10 |
| 441d | aureli | ≥0.5% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$7 +0.6% | 10 |
| 441d |  apalebluedot2 fills | 0.2% | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $3,165 | +$3,700 +117% | 11 |
| 441d |  Cookedtan | ≥0.5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,153 | +$9 +0.4% | 10 |
| 441d | Cookedtan | 0.1% | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | +$191 +9.7% | 10 |
| 441d | Cookedtan | ≤0.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,144 | +$17 +0.8% | 10 |
| 441d | Cookedtan | 0.4% | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,876 | +$286 +15% | 10 |
| 441d | Cookedtan | 0.3% | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$692 +47% | 10 |
| 441d | wokerjoesleeper | 0.4% | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,806 | +$294 +16% | 10 |
| 441d | wokerjoesleeper | 0.1% | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,856 | +$206 +11% | 10 |
| 441d | cigarettes | 0.4% | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,789 | +$291 +16% | 10 |
| 441d | wokerjoesleeper | 0.3% | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | +$693 +49% | 10 |
| 441d | cigarettes | 0.3% | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | +$686 +49% | 10 |
| 441d | cigarettes | 0.1% | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,872 | +$208 +11% | 10 |
| 441d | cigarettes | 0.2% | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,227 | −$1,227 −100% | 10 |
| 442d | rspa | 0.1% | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | −$130 −12% | — |
| 443d | rspa | 0.1% | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$149 +11% | 10 |
| 443d | fortuna1001 | 0.4% | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$179 +15% | 10 |
| 451d | Thangne | 0.4% | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$182 +16% | 10 |
| 457d | thursdays | 0.1% | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$130 +11% | 10 |
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in July 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 0.2% means the market gives it about 100%.