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Polymarket wallet 0xa4790ad83ac558c4590a5052f4e2178982e50d77 · on Polymarket since Dec 11, 2024 · also shown as Stark-Characterization
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 42¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$9 +138% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 10 | 55¢ → 47¢ | $5 | −$1 −14% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 47¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +113% |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 63¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +59% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 31 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.