Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket · Politics
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No HR in 2026 | 57% | −6 pts | −8 pts | 56¢ · 58¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| William Ruger | 16% | +6 pts | +3 pts | 2¢ · 30¢ (28¢) | — | in 76d |
| Maurizio Massari | 10% | −3 pts | +5 pts | 3¢ · 17¢ (14¢) | — | in 76d |
| Antonio Zanardi Landi | 10% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 5¢ · 14¢ (9¢) | — | in 76d |
| René Troccaz | 8% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 5¢ · 11¢ (6¢) | — | in 76d |
| Peter Sørensen | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | — | in 76d |
| Louis J. Crishock | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65d |  FrozenParasite | No HR in 2026 | BuyYes68¢ → 57¢ | $1,442 | −$225 −16% | 4 |
| 88d |  EsperanzasDESTROYER | Antonio Zanardi Landi | BuyNo76¢ → 90¢ | $1,495 | +$272 +18% | 4 |
| 90d | FrozenParasite | René Troccaz | BuyNo83¢ → 92¢ | $1,804 | +$200 +11% | 4 |
Dapsy80 shares
Haradwaith16 shares
freedom6938 sharesThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.ohr.int/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 57¢ for No HR in 2026 means the market gives it about 57%.