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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Moro | 100% | +2 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Requião Filho | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rafael Greca | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guto Silva | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexandre Curi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Beto Richa | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Enio Verri | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luiz França | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sandro Alex | 0% | 0 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | mianbaoxiaoziuma | Sergio Moro | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 12d | only-no | Sergio Moro | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,326 | +$74 +3.2% | 10 |
| 12d | euro77 | Sergio Moro | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | −$12 −0.9% | — |
| 13d | Predictandbreathe | Sergio Moro | SellNo26¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | +$1,040 +100% | — |
| 13d | lucaos | Sergio Moro | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,041 | +$717 +35% | 17 |
| 13d | themain3 fills | Sergio Moro | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $4,824 | +$1,653 +34% | 14 |
| 13d |  77777s4il0r | Requião Filho | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | −$54 −4.7% | — |
| 14d | Renan2030 | Sergio Moro | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $4,036 | −$1,649 −41% | — |
| 16d | GuiViking | Sergio Moro | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$312 +28% | 11 |
| 18d | SuperavitFiscal | Sergio Moro | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $8,020 | −$1,980 −25% | — |
| 31d | Renan20305 fills | Sergio Moro | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $16,664 | +$3,397 +20% | 10 |
| 38d | SuperavitFiscal6 fills | Sergio Moro | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $15,517 | +$2,860 +18% | 10 |
| 39d | donthackme | Sandro Alex | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$240 +19% | 10 |
| 51d |  YoungAlphaGoat | Sergio Moro | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | −$508 −36% | — |
| 53d | YoungAlphaGoat | Sergio Moro | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$986 +39% | 10 |
| 62d | QMG-CORE | Sergio Moro | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,668 | +$332 +12% | 10 |
| 83d | KiernanMeister | Requião Filho | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,144 | +$319 +10% | 10 |
cosmicsteaks846 shares
Quarrelsome-Branch668 sharesThe Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Sergio Moro means the market gives it about 100%.