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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171d |  Tenebrus72 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | −$34 −1.0% | — |
| 172d | Jjw | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,014 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 174d | quick-turtle | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | SellNo100¢ | $1,269 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 174d | wlooo | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,346 | +$42 +0.4% | 20 |
| 176d | Dafu07155 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $19,044 | +$565 +3.0% | 20 |
| 176d | Huludubu | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,535 | −$57 −1.6% | — |
| 178d | TronOG3 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $7,688 | +$655 +8.5% | 20 |
| 182d | 8811123 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,452 | −$142 −2.6% | — |
| 184d | 8811122 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,386 | +$506 +7.9% | 20 |
| 184d | esych | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | −$30 −2.9% | — |
| 186d | Laurenman2 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,784 | −$172 −6.2% | — |
| 186d | Jest55 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | +$53 +3.8% | 20 |
| 186d | deTka | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,253 | +$96 +4.3% | 20 |
| 188d |  Vanquish5 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $16,192 | +$879 +5.4% | 20 |
| 188d |  paddaa | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | −$100 −7.0% | — |
| 189d | Huludubu | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,870 | +$491 +7.1% | 20 |
| 189d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,261 | +$249 +7.6% | 20 |
| 190d |  MisTKy2 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,370 | −$344 −7.9% | — |
| 190d |  Parz1vaI | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,334 | −$216 −4.0% | — |
| 191d |  TeaLover | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,886 | +$104 +5.5% | 20 |
| 191d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389352 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,279 | +$206 +6.3% | 20 |
| 193d | MisTKy | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,972 | +$147 +4.9% | 20 |
| 193d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$61 +5.5% | 20 |
| 194d | madman666 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$62 +6.2% | 20 |
| 194d | paddaa | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$253 +7.2% | 20 |
| 195d | cuminmyass | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,381 | −$111 −8.1% | — |
| 196d |  Valen9 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,229 | −$303 −5.8% | — |
| 197d | cuminmyass | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | +$65 +4.6% | 20 |
| 199d |  Milktoast | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,385 | +$99 +4.2% | 20 |
| 199d |  DEGENKHAN2 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,827 | +$251 +6.6% | 20 |
| 200d | Valen9 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$93 +7.5% | 20 |
| 205d |  TylerTurden | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$82 +7.5% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.