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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172d | Solid-AirfareNew account | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,428 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 173d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,697 | +$72 +1.3% | 20 |
| 174d | ZIONISTSAREGHEY | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$17 +1.2% | 20 |
| 175d | Skinny-Class | April 30 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | −$46 −3.7% | — |
| 188d |  MisTKy | April 30 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | −$96 −7.3% | — |
| 192d | KrackenSruster | April 30 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,488 | +$153 +6.1% | 20 |
| 193d |  doubleone2 | April 30 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,326 | −$274 −12% | — |
| 193d | Skinny-Class | April 30 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,728 | +$272 +10.0% | 20 |
| 193d |  paddaa | April 30 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$205 +15% | 20 |
| 195d | MisTKy | April 30 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,102 | +$627 +20% | 20 |
| 199d | chilloutTt | March 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,870 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 199d | ears | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,748 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 201d | Huludubu2 fills | March 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,716 | +$182 +2.7% | 20 |
| 201d |  RememberAmalek | March 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,709 | −$33 −2.0% | — |
| 205d | uprightuser | March 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,080 | +$64 +2.1% | 20 |
| 207d | MisTKy | March 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,022 | +$73 +3.6% | 20 |
| 210d |  Naichli | March 31 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,902 | −$98 −5.2% | — |
| 212d | nonkenny90 | March 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,233 | +$100 +4.5% | 20 |
| 220d |  Mr-Krabs2 fills | March 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,187 | +$595 +11% | 20 |
| 220d | m4rks | March 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$163 +13% | 20 |
| 221d | aff3 | March 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,325 | +$466 +14% | 20 |
| 223d |  WarriorPooh | March 31 | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,655 | −$455 −27% | — |
| 223d | paddaa | March 31 | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | −$313 −24% | — |
| 223d | emma3986 | March 31 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$315 +27% | 20 |
| 223d | pantomime | March 31 | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | −$310 −30% | — |
| 223d | Skinny-Class2 fills | March 31 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $3,514 | +$1,486 +42% | 20 |
| 223d | WarriorPooh | March 31 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,035 | +$561 +28% | 20 |
| 223d |  AishahSofey | March 31 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | +$651 +39% | 20 |
| 223d |  Dragontree | March 31 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,689 | +$849 +50% | 20 |
| 223d |  kgjkkl | March 31 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$584 +57% | 20 |
| 224d | Bloombergg | March 31 | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$586 +59% | 20 |
| 224d | Mahalex4 | March 31 | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $2,800 | −$2,800 −100% | 20 |
| 224d | Spry-ConsulNew account | March 31 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | +$946 +57% | 35 |
| 225d |  DePunisher | March 31 | SellYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,443 | +$1,443 +100% | — |
| 225d | chilloutTt | March 31 | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,373 +92% | 20 |
| 225d | opri | March 31 | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$1,452 +127% | 20 |
| 225d | Tall-Suspension | March 31 | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,777 | −$1,777 −100% | 20 |
| 226d | Wan-Thong | March 31 | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,167 | +$1,167 +100% | — |
| 226d |  MajidJavadi2 fills | March 31 | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $3,681 | +$5,037 +137% | 22 |
| 226d | BulkeyBull | March 31 | SellYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,434 | +$1,434 +100% | — |
| 226d | NoOneOfConsequence | March 31 | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 226d | BulkeyBull | March 31 | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,251 | −$1,251 −100% | 20 |
| 226d |  WashTrade | March 31 | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$1,392 +127% | 20 |
| 226d | DePunisher | March 31 | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $2,457 | −$2,457 −100% | 20 |
| 226d | Miniature-Colleague | March 31 | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $1,359 | −$1,359 −100% | 20 |
| 226d | inrock30 | March 31 | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $2,788 | −$2,788 −100% | 20 |
| 226d | scribadou2 fills | March 31 | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 20 |
| 226d | Shjzjzj | March 31 | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for March 31 means the market gives it about 0%.