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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 15 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199d |  elmcap2 | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,182 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 199d | Favorable-Servant | March 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,012 | −$37 −1.8% | — |
| 199d |  Dargdarg4 fills | March 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,721 | +$242 +2.8% | 20 |
| 200d |  iForgor | March 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | −$28 −2.5% | — |
| 201d | offroadtms | March 31 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,219 | −$52 −4.3% | — |
| 202d | Rundown-Schoolhouse | March 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,267 | +$272 +6.4% | 21 |
| 203d |  suraxy | March 31 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,570 | −$157 −10.0% | — |
| 208d | spacegliderr2 fills | March 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $6,010 | +$795 +13% | 20 |
| 213d | as81119 | March 31 | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,475 | −$1,475 −100% | 22 |
| 214d |  TrumpFollower752x | March 31 | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 22 |
| 215d |  KnureKnume | March 31 | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | +$1,125 +100% | — |
| 215d | Icy-Gingerbread | March 15 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,267 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 215d |  Cloverince | March 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,474 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d |  SakuraDevil2 fills | March 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,522 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 215d | BrightStars3 fills | March 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,239 | +$46 +0.7% | 20 |
| 215d | superxman | March 15 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 215d |  Parz1vaI2 fills | March 31 | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $9,170 | −$3,363 −37% | — |
| 216d | shlager26 | March 31 | SellYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,287 | +$1,287 +100% | — |
| 216d | Parz1vaI4 fills | March 31 | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $8,802 | +$7,474 +85% | 20 |
| 217d | BTCFudder | March 31 | SellNo63¢ → 100¢ | $2,156 | −$1,257 −58% | — |
| 219d | Favorable-ServantNew account | March 31 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$660 +47% | 35 |
| 219d |  mostobesegoldfish2 fills | March 15 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $7,426 | +$1,245 +17% | 20 |
| 219d | Parz1vaI2 fills | March 15 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,844 | +$551 +19% | 20 |
| 221d |  Tenebrus7 | March 15 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,010 | +$638 +21% | 20 |
| 221d | BTCFudder | March 31 | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$750 +52% | 20 |
| 221d | spacegliderr | March 15 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,012 | +$572 +28% | 20 |
| 222d | Israeli-guys | March 31 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 20 |
| 222d |  WashTrade | March 31 | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,015 | −$1,015 −100% | 20 |
| 223d |  XieGuangKun | March 31 | SellYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,879 | +$1,879 +100% | — |
| 223d | Huludubu | March 31 | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,295 | −$1,295 −100% | 20 |
| 224d | stimulatedEmission | March 31 | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,998 | −$1,998 −100% | 20 |
| 224d | iForgor | March 31 | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,324 | +$1,248 +94% | 20 |
| 225d | emma3986 | March 31 | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,000 +100% | 20 |
| 226d | BulkeyBull | March 31 | SellYes47¢ → 0¢ | $3,069 | +$3,069 +100% | — |
| 226d | Mongabc123 | March 31 | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $3,978 | −$3,978 −100% | 20 |
| 226d | stony169 | March 31 | SellYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,459 | +$1,459 +100% | — |
| 226d | Trumpsons555jjs | March 31 | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,482 | +$2,482 +100% | — |
| 227d | BulkeyBull2 fills | March 31 | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 20 |
| 227d | GHammeR | March 31 | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,088 | −$1,088 −100% | 20 |
| 228d | oculus1 | March 31 | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,012 | +$1,012 +100% | — |
| 228d | FGJHF | March 31 | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $2,223 | −$2,223 −100% | 20 |
| 228d | shlager26 | March 31 | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,203 | −$1,203 −100% | 20 |
| 229d | Eliav167 | March 31 | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,495 | −$1,495 −100% | 20 |
| 229d | oculus1 | March 31 | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 20 |
| 230d |  RememberAmalek | March 31 | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $1,542 | +$1,782 +116% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for March 31 means the market gives it about 0%.