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Polymarket wallet 0x593829ffcc8a26eab37b6e0bf8f8c125f682233c · on Polymarket since Feb 28, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 31 | 32¢ → 100¢ | $31 | +$21 +213% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 29 | 41¢ → 38¢ | $11 | −$1 −8.5% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,818 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.