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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 35% | +1 pts | +4 pts | 34¢ · 35¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| June 30, 2027 | 48% | −3 pts | −1 pts | 32¢ · 63¢ (31¢) | $30.5 | in 257d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108d | calami | Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,141 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 142d |  Dreamwalker | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes52¢ → 35¢ | $1,106 | −$372 −34% | 2 |
BuD64 shares
Dr.PNL58 shares
Haradwaith30 shares
Poivre449 shares
Anjun333 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if MagicBlock officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by MagicBlock will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 35¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 35%.