| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 742 | 19¢ → 67¢ | $493 | +$356 +258% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 500 | 17¢ → 92¢ | $457 | +$372 +438% |
| Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 632 | 11¢ → 60¢ | $379 | +$308 +434% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 341 | 29¢ → >99¢ | $340 | +$240 +240% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?Ends in 8d | Yes | 320 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $314 | +$21 +7.0% |
| Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 396 | 20¢ → 77¢ | $303 | +$223 +278% |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 27¢ → 76¢ | $302 | +$194 +180% |
| Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 449 | 23¢ → 66¢ | $294 | +$189 +179% |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 313 | 22¢ → 91¢ | $285 | +$215 +309% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $284 | +$53 +23% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 43¢ → 92¢ | $275 | +$146 +113% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 22¢ → 69¢ | $274 | +$186 +211% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 26¢ → 67¢ | $266 | +$162 +156% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 46¢ → 88¢ | $263 | +$125 +90% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 47¢ → 64¢ | $254 | +$68 +36% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 22¢ → 81¢ | $242 | +$176 +268% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 52¢ → 89¢ | $221 | +$91 +70% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 75d | No | 281 | 20¢ → 77¢ | $218 | +$162 +290% |
| Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 420 | 13¢ → 51¢ | $214 | +$159 +290% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 37¢ → 68¢ | $203 | +$93 +84% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 600 | 20¢ → 34¢ | $202 | +$84 +72% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 450 | 27¢ → 45¢ | $200 | +$79 +66% |
| Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 197 | 30¢ → 98¢ | $193 | +$133 +222% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 19¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$147 +387% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | No | 240 | 19¢ → 76¢ | $181 | +$136 +297% |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 713 | 14¢ → 24¢ | $174 | +$72 +70% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | No | 248 | 9¢ → 69¢ | $171 | +$150 +705% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 800 | 24¢ → 20¢ | $160 | −$30 −16% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 240 | 37¢ → 65¢ | $155 | +$67 +75% |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 158 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $152 | +$22 +17% |
| Will Ritual launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 18¢ → 29¢ | $145 | +$58 +66% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 800 | 12¢ → 17¢ | $136 | +$40 +42% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 254 | 24¢ → 53¢ | $135 | +$74 +122% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 303 | 24¢ → 41¢ | $123 | +$51 +72% |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 190 | 28¢ → 62¢ | $118 | +$65 +121% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 79d | No | 700 | 13¢ → 17¢ | $116 | +$26 +29% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 662 | 22¢ → 17¢ | $111 | −$36 −25% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 400 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $110 | −$10 −8.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 700 | 15¢ → 16¢ | $109 | +$4 +3.3% |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 114 | 18¢ → 95¢ | $108 | +$88 +428% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | Yes | 300 | 15¢ → 36¢ | $108 | +$63 +140% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,673 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $102 | −$29 −22% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 350 | 16¢ → 28¢ | $100 | +$44 +78% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$6 +6.5% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 100 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $88 | +$2 +2.8% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 400 | 23¢ → 22¢ | $86 | −$6 −6.5% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 35¢ → 84¢ | $84 | +$49 +141% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 406 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $83 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?Ends in 286d | Yes | 82 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $79 | +$10 +15% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 21¢ → 26¢ | $77 | +$14 +21% |
| Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Ends in 182d | Yes | 219 | 27¢ → 33¢ | $72 | +$13 +22% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 33¢ → 35¢ | $69 | +$3 +4.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 250 | 26¢ → 28¢ | $69 | +$4 +5.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 250 | 25¢ → 28¢ | $69 | +$6 +10.0% |
| Sweden snap election called in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 13¢ → 17¢ | $68 | +$16 +31% |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 438 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $68 | −$4 −5.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 33¢ → 34¢ | $67 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 350 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $61 | −$2 −2.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $61 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 340 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $59 | −$5 −7.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $59 | −$3 −4.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 250 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $59 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 350 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $58 | −$9 −13% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 250 | 26¢ → 23¢ | $56 | −$9 −13% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $55 | −$7 −12% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 380 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $55 | −$6 −9.4% |
| Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?Ends in 17d | No | 400 | 21¢ → 14¢ | $54 | −$30 −36% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 425 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $53 | −$11 −17% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 330 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $53 | −$10 −16% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $52 | −$10 −17% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $52 | −$7 −12% |
| Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 69 | 26¢ → 76¢ | $52 | +$34 +192% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 600 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $51 | −$9 −15% |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 400 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $50 | +$6 +14% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 1,000 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $50 | −$40 −44% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 152 | 34¢ → 33¢ | $49 | −$2 −4.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 456 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $48 | −$2 −4.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 33¢ → 24¢ | $47 | −$19 −29% |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 450 | 19¢ → 10¢ | $47 | −$39 −45% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 600 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $45 | −$15 −25% |
| Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 45 | 23¢ → 98¢ | $44 | +$34 +328% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 115 | 36¢ → 39¢ | $44 | +$3 +6.9% |
| Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | Yes | 140 | 35¢ → 32¢ | $44 | −$5 −10% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 169 | 26¢ → 26¢ | $44 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 144 | 26¢ → 30¢ | $43 | +$5 +13% |
| Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?Ends ended | Yes | 258 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $40 | −$9 −18% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 40 | 14¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$33 +591% |
| Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 350 | 19¢ → 11¢ | $39 | −$28 −42% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $38 | −$23 −38% |
| Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Ends ended | No | 244 | 10¢ → 15¢ | $36 | +$11 +44% |
| Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 264 | 29¢ → 14¢ | $36 | −$42 −54% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | Yes | 50 | 38¢ → 64¢ | $32 | +$13 +67% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 275 | 29¢ → 11¢ | $30 | −$49 −62% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 174 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $29 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 85 | 12¢ → 33¢ | $28 | +$17 +165% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 250 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $26 | −$4 −13% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 92 | 33¢ → 26¢ | $23 | −$7 −23% |
| Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 360 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $23 | −$12 −35% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 270 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $22 | −$10 −32% |
| Will Malin Sjölander be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Ends ended | Yes | 245 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $22 | +$7 +45% |
